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Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

June 13, 2008 by Lee (Edit)

The Full-Time Fantasy Running Back has become a bit of a rarity. More teams are going to a Running Back by Committee approach and carries are getting lost on third down and at the Goal Line as well. How does this effect your fantasy RB? Sometimes it doesn’t, sometimes it is nerve racking. Carries don’t mean everything, right? But sometimes you just have to think that if your guy is touching the ball more there is more opportunity than if he is on the bench.

On the last two episodes of The Fantasy Football News and Advice Show there has been a little conversation on the stock of Jamal Lewis. Matt Dana at FFGeekBlog.com (Episode 4)had been noticing that Lewis is going earlier than most would think in Mock Drafts. Revisiting the topic this week (Episode 5) we came to the conclusion that it must be related to the fact that Jamal Lewis is part of the dying breed that is the Full-Time Fantasy Back. This could make a difference in projections for cheetsheets you may be putting together. Giving more thought to this I decided to take a look at all of the teams and see just who lost the most carries in 2007.

Let’s have a look at how the player on each team with the highest average of carries per game stacked up against the average carries per game for the team. This will give us the average carries that each player lost per game. I think you may be surprised by how some of these guys rank. On one side this shows which teams look more at the featured back. On another side it shows that having to share carries does not necessarily mean a drop in fantasy production (especially if the team runs the ball a majority of the time). Of course this doesn’t take into consideration a players value in the passing game. No, it’s not a science (Yes-there are holes in it), but it’s fun anyway. So what are your thoughts? Please share in the comments below!

We will rank these in order of teams where the player with the highest average carries per game lost the least amount of carries to others (carries are rounded up).

1. Chiefs
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Team: 23.93
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Leader: Larry Johnson
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game: 19.8
Avg. Carries lost to others/Game: 3.2
Comments: When Johnson is healthy he is forced the rock. I wouldn’t look for much of a change in this…if healthy. The addition of Jamal Charles in the NFL Draft provides little reason to think it will change.

CONTINUED—>

Some Col.Sanders video for Turkey Day

Okay…chicken and turkey not the same thing. I was just over visiting the Fantasy Football Goat and he’s chewing on this video of Barry Sanders. I find it appropriate with all the Thanksgiving Day games that Sanders helped us through. For you kids out there that didn’t get a chance to see this guy actually play…sucks to be you!


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NFL Footballderdash/Week 12

Yes, I have broke the 20 win mark for the season. If I could hear Kellogg23’s voice through the words he types I’m sure it would be quivering a bit. There is a bit of separation going on here. This week we are doing all of the Thanksgiving Day games and then throwing in a couple for Sunday as well. Maybe with five games going the kid can get back in the hunt here!

Yesterday I posted a preview for Thanksgiving Day with some history and all that cool stuff. CLICK HERE if you want to check that out.

LAST WEEK

TINO:3-0 (20-13 overall)

Kelloggs23: 1-2 (17-16 overall)

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Who would have thought that this game would have so much meaning when the schedule came out this year? The Packers have a pretty good grasp on the division right now at 9-1. The Lions are in Wild Card mode and need every win they can get. I always pull for the Lions on Thanksgiving. This season though I’m pulling for Favre as it MAY be his last…or not. I would also like to see both teams 10-1 when the Pack face the Cowboys next week.

TINO: Packers

This one is a toughie. Green Bay has been hot as of late, but Detroit hasn’t been too shabby either. If this game was in Green Bay, well then it just wouldn’t be Thanksgiving would it? Instead of picking this game, I think we should try to figure out the over/under on how many Barry Sanders on Thanksgiving highlights they show during the game. I’ll put it at 3 and take the over. I’m going with the Lions only because they are at Ford Field and I think they will come to play.

Kelloggs23: Detroit Lions

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Football Feast Thursday!

Thanksgiving and football. Up until just a few years ago family and friends got together for the annual Bloated Bowl. After pounding as much bird flesh, mashed potatoes and gravy and beer into us as possible we would take the block long walk to the park. Spectacular pigskin play ensued. My wife earned the nickname “The Wall” a few years ago after my sissy of a cousin ran into her as she stood still and then he lay on the ground crying holding his knee.

Now the bloated bowl seems to be retired. The kids got older and faster and we got older and slower. People moved away, blah, blah, blah. I miss it but after a flag football game where the adults took on the kids at the alternative school I work at last week, I realize I really am getting too old for this shit. Don’t get me wrong, we kicked their ass. I had the play of the day still getting talked about this week, going up for the ball and getting flattened by a kid that has about 40 lbs on me. I jumped up off the ground and spiked the ball in his face. I masked how hurt I was and my stuff down below got pinched and didn’t get better until a few plays later. Worse part about it was that I got jacked up by a kid in orange Rex Grossman jersey.

But I digress…Thanksgiving and football. Now it consists of the same prep. Lots of food and beer. Now there is more laying around watching the games on TV and checking my fantasy scores. I have a huge fantasy game this weekend against a IDP Division rival. Winner will likely take the division with one week to play after that before the playoffs.

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So let’s talk about some games! One game we will not talk about outside this paragraph is the Colts and Falcons. There are a few reasons for this. One, the NFL Network is robbing me of viewing this game and I hate the bastards for it! 2, it’s the friggen Colts and Falcons, does that really count as a game? Why do I bitch than you ask? I bitch because eventually the NFL is gong to get the guessing game right when making the schedule and they will rob those with out the NFLN of what they hope is the game of the year. I’m just going to guess here but I’m thinking they thought this was going to be Manning vs. Vick, not Manning versus Joeyron Harringtonwich. How long before they tamper with tradition and take away the Lions or Cowboys game? A big middle finger to you NFL, I’m watching NCAA football Thursday Night!

Let’s move on to what should be practice games for the Cowboys and Packers who will meet week 13 (by the way if you don’t have NFL Network, your screwed on that one), some Thanksgiving history, and some college football. And you know I have to throw a cheerleader in, I can’t leave you hanging with the bird above.

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NFL Footballderdash/ Week Eleven

In our previous episode both Kelloggs23 and I dropped more games than we gained.  Did I learn my lesson for having too much faith in the Giants?  Not likely.  I had also put too much stock in KC’s defense and found myslef on the wrong side of an inconsistent Bronco’s team.

So let’s have a look at week 11.  I still hold a game on my nemesis but this week we differ in two games and it can swing the other way (like my nemesis).

LAST WEEK

TINO:1-2 (17-13 overall)

Kelloggs23: 1-2 (16-14 overall)

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The Giants and Lions both come in at 6-3 and can’t afford a loss trailing in their divisions. The trouble for the Lions is they are playing against the Giants and themselves. Their going to have to get that running game into the positive numbers this week to have any hope. This is the biggest game up to this point for them and a win would be huge going into the Thanksgiving game with the Packers. After a slow start the Giants defense is looking mean and could be all over Jon Kitna. They have to be pissed after giving the game away on penalties last week against the Cowboys. The Giants win this game with balance on offense and the better defense.

TINO: Giants
I was singing Eli’s praises last week, but I am switching boats this week. Eli is trash. The Lions have soooo much offense, pretty much from when they sucked every year and had Top 10 picks. Their defense is playing like they should and keeping them in games which is all that they need. The Giants meanwhile haven’t been able to play a complete game in a few weeks and I don’t see it happening in Motown this week.

Kelloggs23: Detroit Lions

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NFC North 1st Half Report Card

We are a 1/2 way through the season and many teams have not performed
as planned. We have decided that report cards should be sent out. Some
fans will be happy to see how their teams stack up. Some would like to
use the genius plan I gave a kid walking home with me in the first
grade…hide it underneath a car tire where your Mom will never find it.
Grades are determined by where they rank in the league in each
category. Feel free to praise or scold teams in the comment section
below. Check out the other divisions as well.

Offense

Points Per Game:

First Half=B
First Quarter=B

Passing Yards:

First Half=A
First Quarter=A

Rushing Yards:

First Half=F
First Quarter=F

Defense
Points Allowed:

First Half=B
First Quarter= B

Yards Per Game:

First Half=B-
First Quarter=D+

Comments: The Packers are excelling in their classes but are neglecting run class. Passing has been able to compensate for it up to this point but it isn’t known that it can do so all year. Improvement in yards allowed per game helps as well.
The rest of the teams…

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