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Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

June 13, 2008 by Lee (Edit)

The Full-Time Fantasy Running Back has become a bit of a rarity. More teams are going to a Running Back by Committee approach and carries are getting lost on third down and at the Goal Line as well. How does this effect your fantasy RB? Sometimes it doesn’t, sometimes it is nerve racking. Carries don’t mean everything, right? But sometimes you just have to think that if your guy is touching the ball more there is more opportunity than if he is on the bench.

On the last two episodes of The Fantasy Football News and Advice Show there has been a little conversation on the stock of Jamal Lewis. Matt Dana at FFGeekBlog.com (Episode 4)had been noticing that Lewis is going earlier than most would think in Mock Drafts. Revisiting the topic this week (Episode 5) we came to the conclusion that it must be related to the fact that Jamal Lewis is part of the dying breed that is the Full-Time Fantasy Back. This could make a difference in projections for cheetsheets you may be putting together. Giving more thought to this I decided to take a look at all of the teams and see just who lost the most carries in 2007.

Let’s have a look at how the player on each team with the highest average of carries per game stacked up against the average carries per game for the team. This will give us the average carries that each player lost per game. I think you may be surprised by how some of these guys rank. On one side this shows which teams look more at the featured back. On another side it shows that having to share carries does not necessarily mean a drop in fantasy production (especially if the team runs the ball a majority of the time). Of course this doesn’t take into consideration a players value in the passing game. No, it’s not a science (Yes-there are holes in it), but it’s fun anyway. So what are your thoughts? Please share in the comments below!

We will rank these in order of teams where the player with the highest average carries per game lost the least amount of carries to others (carries are rounded up).

1. Chiefs
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Team: 23.93
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Leader: Larry Johnson
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game: 19.8
Avg. Carries lost to others/Game: 3.2
Comments: When Johnson is healthy he is forced the rock. I wouldn’t look for much of a change in this…if healthy. The addition of Jamal Charles in the NFL Draft provides little reason to think it will change.

CONTINUED—>

NFL Footballderdash Week 15

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I bit last week on the hope the Steelers could come to the rescue of us non-Patriot fans.  It cost me a perfect week.  As the season winds down we have a couple games that serve as playoff games already for a few teams.

Last Week

TINO:2-1 (26-18 overall)

Kelloggs23: 2-1 (24-20 overall)

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This has smash mouth football written all over it.  All D and a lot of running.  Who would think that the Steelers would only be one win up on the Browns right now?  They need this game to keep that cushion going.  The Steelers are very tough at home and it could give them an edge here.  David Garrard has turned out to be the QB the Jags needed.  I look for the Steelers to take out last weeks loss on the Jags.

TINO: Steelers

Pittsburgh is always a deadly team come wintertime and especially at home, they are no different. I see Willie finally turning things around and putting one in this week. Jax is a good team and if they were the home team, I’d probably go with them in this tilt.

Kelloggs23: Pittsburgh Steelers

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NFL Footballderdash Week Thirteen

Just like everyone overeats on Thanksgiving we had a little excess as well. We went five game last week, you would think that would have helped Kelly gain some ground. Games like this are always more fun when your winning. So the kid trails by four with 15 games left for the regular season. I’m going to throw him a couple bones this week I think.

LAST WEEK

TINO:4-1 (24-14 overall)

Kelloggs23: 3-2 (20-18 overall)

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Last time these two teams played I took the Jags. In the preseason I picked them to split with the Colts. David Garrard is yet to throw an INT but also has not played the whole season. His first (and maybe more) could very well come this week. MJD and Fred Taylor will be the focus of the game plan on both sides of the ball when the Jags have the rock. Look for it to be the Joe Addai show on offense for the Colts, this guy is not missing a beat. We are getting to the time in the season when the Colts need to make a statement and there wouldn’t be a better time than against the division rival that trails them by a game. With that said, I have to stick to my split.

TINO: Jaguars

The Jaguars have Garrard back and are looking good, but I just can’t go against Peyton at home. With the piped in sound on defense and him confusing the heck out of the other team on offense, they are one of the toughest teams to play at home. I like how their offense has still been clicking even without Marvin and I think their D is one of the most underrated in the league. Overall, I think people don’t respect Indy like they should so I’m going to toss them some props.

Kelloggs23: Indianapolis Colts

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NFL Footballderdash/ Week Eleven

In our previous episode both Kelloggs23 and I dropped more games than we gained.  Did I learn my lesson for having too much faith in the Giants?  Not likely.  I had also put too much stock in KC’s defense and found myslef on the wrong side of an inconsistent Bronco’s team.

So let’s have a look at week 11.  I still hold a game on my nemesis but this week we differ in two games and it can swing the other way (like my nemesis).

LAST WEEK

TINO:1-2 (17-13 overall)

Kelloggs23: 1-2 (16-14 overall)

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The Giants and Lions both come in at 6-3 and can’t afford a loss trailing in their divisions. The trouble for the Lions is they are playing against the Giants and themselves. Their going to have to get that running game into the positive numbers this week to have any hope. This is the biggest game up to this point for them and a win would be huge going into the Thanksgiving game with the Packers. After a slow start the Giants defense is looking mean and could be all over Jon Kitna. They have to be pissed after giving the game away on penalties last week against the Cowboys. The Giants win this game with balance on offense and the better defense.

TINO: Giants
I was singing Eli’s praises last week, but I am switching boats this week. Eli is trash. The Lions have soooo much offense, pretty much from when they sucked every year and had Top 10 picks. Their defense is playing like they should and keeping them in games which is all that they need. The Giants meanwhile haven’t been able to play a complete game in a few weeks and I don’t see it happening in Motown this week.

Kelloggs23: Detroit Lions

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AFC South 1st Half Report Card

We are a 1/2 way through the season and many teams have not performed
as planned. We have decided that report cards should be sent out. Some
fans will be happy to see how their teams stack up. Some would like to
use the genius plan I gave a kid walking home with me in the first
grade…hide it underneath a car tire where your Mom will never find it.
Grades are determined by where they rank in the league in each
category. Feel free to praise or scold teams in the comment section
below. Check out the other divisions as well.

Offense

Points Per Game:

First Half=A
First Quarter=A

Passing Yards:

First Half=B
First Quarter=B+

Rushing Yards:

First Half=B
First Quarter=B

Defense
Points Allowed:

First Half=A
First Quarter= C+

Yards Per Game:

First Half=B+
First Quarter=B

Comments: The Colts were in a school yard fight with the Patriots and lost. They had the chance to be the hero and were looked up to by many to be the one to stop the bully. Word is in Gym class that they are looking forward to getting another chance at the end of the year.
The rest of the teams…

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NFL Footballderdash/Week Eight

After Kelloggs pleading for me to throw him a couple games I now find myself trailing after taking Jacksonville and Philly last week. Okay, I thought maybe I was giving one away with the Jacksonville game but I really thought that Philly would take the game against Chicago and it appeared so until the last few seconds when Brian Griese played like a starting NFL QB and drove the Bears to a winning score in the final two minutes. So now I play catch up…

LAST WEEK

TINO: 0-3 (11-10 overall)

Kelloggs23: 2-1 (12-9 overall)
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It’s been so long since these two have played on Monday night that the Broncos had blue helmets and orange jerseys at the time. This is a very tough one to call for me. Denver is only a game out (trailing KC?) of first place. But that IS with a 3-3 record. Something I find interesting about their schedule is that in the games they have won, it’s been by a total of 7 points in three games. Everything should tell me to beware the Broncos pass defense in this game. Brett Favre does tend to make costly mistakes. If there is any time this season that the Packers should be able to run the ball it is Monday night. Not that it will happen. I look for this game to be a close one.

TINO: Packers

Oh Brett Favre, how I love you so. How I love that you won’t win
this game because Denver is made to shut down the pass and let you run
on them. What was that? Green Bay has no running game? Only passing?
What a shame. Greg Jennings will have a decent game with Driver getting
blanketed by Champ, but it won’t be enough as Denver will pound it out
all game long. I think this may be a very boring game with Denver
taking it in the end, probably on a Jason Elam FG or John Elway
game-winning drive.

Kelloggs23: Denver Broncos

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