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Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

June 13, 2008 by Lee (Edit)

The Full-Time Fantasy Running Back has become a bit of a rarity. More teams are going to a Running Back by Committee approach and carries are getting lost on third down and at the Goal Line as well. How does this effect your fantasy RB? Sometimes it doesn’t, sometimes it is nerve racking. Carries don’t mean everything, right? But sometimes you just have to think that if your guy is touching the ball more there is more opportunity than if he is on the bench.

On the last two episodes of The Fantasy Football News and Advice Show there has been a little conversation on the stock of Jamal Lewis. Matt Dana at FFGeekBlog.com (Episode 4)had been noticing that Lewis is going earlier than most would think in Mock Drafts. Revisiting the topic this week (Episode 5) we came to the conclusion that it must be related to the fact that Jamal Lewis is part of the dying breed that is the Full-Time Fantasy Back. This could make a difference in projections for cheetsheets you may be putting together. Giving more thought to this I decided to take a look at all of the teams and see just who lost the most carries in 2007.

Let’s have a look at how the player on each team with the highest average of carries per game stacked up against the average carries per game for the team. This will give us the average carries that each player lost per game. I think you may be surprised by how some of these guys rank. On one side this shows which teams look more at the featured back. On another side it shows that having to share carries does not necessarily mean a drop in fantasy production (especially if the team runs the ball a majority of the time). Of course this doesn’t take into consideration a players value in the passing game. No, it’s not a science (Yes-there are holes in it), but it’s fun anyway. So what are your thoughts? Please share in the comments below!

We will rank these in order of teams where the player with the highest average carries per game lost the least amount of carries to others (carries are rounded up).

1. Chiefs
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Team: 23.93
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Leader: Larry Johnson
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game: 19.8
Avg. Carries lost to others/Game: 3.2
Comments: When Johnson is healthy he is forced the rock. I wouldn’t look for much of a change in this…if healthy. The addition of Jamal Charles in the NFL Draft provides little reason to think it will change.

CONTINUED—>

NFL Footballderdash Week 15

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I bit last week on the hope the Steelers could come to the rescue of us non-Patriot fans.  It cost me a perfect week.  As the season winds down we have a couple games that serve as playoff games already for a few teams.

Last Week

TINO:2-1 (26-18 overall)

Kelloggs23: 2-1 (24-20 overall)

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This has smash mouth football written all over it.  All D and a lot of running.  Who would think that the Steelers would only be one win up on the Browns right now?  They need this game to keep that cushion going.  The Steelers are very tough at home and it could give them an edge here.  David Garrard has turned out to be the QB the Jags needed.  I look for the Steelers to take out last weeks loss on the Jags.

TINO: Steelers

Pittsburgh is always a deadly team come wintertime and especially at home, they are no different. I see Willie finally turning things around and putting one in this week. Jax is a good team and if they were the home team, I’d probably go with them in this tilt.

Kelloggs23: Pittsburgh Steelers

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We Give Patriots

It wasn’t fair to put the hope of the non-Patriot fan world on the shoulders of the Steelers…but we had to. Who else is going to do it?

The New York Jets? They did shock everyone with a win over the Steelers. No way they are the one to take down the Pats though.

The Miami Dolphins? How cool would that be? A winless (just assuming they lose next week) Fins team comes into Foxboro and knocks off the undefeated team threatening to take their record away. That would be cool as hell. It’s not likely they will beat any team this year but why not pull for this one to happen? Remember when the Fins gave the 85′ Bears their only loss? Ironically it was the Patriots that went on to their first Super Bowl that year. Go Dolphins, it’s up to you to keep what is yours!

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NFL Footballderdash Week Fourteen

Last week was my worst showing yet. 0-3 is what I got for sticking with my “The Jags will take one from Indy this year” and my illusion of a Saints turn around. Back to business. Even after that mess I still hold a two game lead on this character. He picked the games again this week so let’s go see what he has for me. First a look at the scores…

Last Week

TINO:0-3 (24-17 overall)

Kelloggs23: 2-1 (22-19 overall)

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Nothing like a good rivalry game late in the season. For the Giants this is a game that can push them further toward the playoffs. For the Eagles…well…they can play spoiler against a team they hate. Defense should be key in this game. The Giants tore McNabb up last time they faced each other. Eli is struggling against pressure and the Eagles can bring that on D. On the offensive side of the ball for the Eagles we have to expect a whole lot of Bryan Westbrook. If that isn’t the case the Eagles really do deserve to be where they are in the standings.

TINO: Giants

Is Eli back? I was high on him, then down on him and now I really don’t know what to think about the guy. He looked good at the end against the Bears, but it was the Bears. Ward helped him out a lot that game with a huge rushing total, but now he’s done for the year. Will Eli be able to get it done? McNabb is back for the Eagles, but I’m not sure if that is a good or bad thing yet. I’m gonna go with good along with the fact that Westbrook is the most underrated RB in the league. Anyone remember the last game where McNabb was on his back the entire game because the Gmen manhandled the line. I think PHI will fix its faults and come away with this one.

Kelloggs23: Eagles

and the rest of the games…

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NFL Footballderdash/ Week Eleven

In our previous episode both Kelloggs23 and I dropped more games than we gained.  Did I learn my lesson for having too much faith in the Giants?  Not likely.  I had also put too much stock in KC’s defense and found myslef on the wrong side of an inconsistent Bronco’s team.

So let’s have a look at week 11.  I still hold a game on my nemesis but this week we differ in two games and it can swing the other way (like my nemesis).

LAST WEEK

TINO:1-2 (17-13 overall)

Kelloggs23: 1-2 (16-14 overall)

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The Giants and Lions both come in at 6-3 and can’t afford a loss trailing in their divisions. The trouble for the Lions is they are playing against the Giants and themselves. Their going to have to get that running game into the positive numbers this week to have any hope. This is the biggest game up to this point for them and a win would be huge going into the Thanksgiving game with the Packers. After a slow start the Giants defense is looking mean and could be all over Jon Kitna. They have to be pissed after giving the game away on penalties last week against the Cowboys. The Giants win this game with balance on offense and the better defense.

TINO: Giants
I was singing Eli’s praises last week, but I am switching boats this week. Eli is trash. The Lions have soooo much offense, pretty much from when they sucked every year and had Top 10 picks. Their defense is playing like they should and keeping them in games which is all that they need. The Giants meanwhile haven’t been able to play a complete game in a few weeks and I don’t see it happening in Motown this week.

Kelloggs23: Detroit Lions

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NFC East 1st Half Report Card

We are a 1/2 way through the season and many teams have not performed
as planned. We have decided that report cards should be sent out. Some
fans will be happy to see how their teams stack up. Some would like to
use the genius plan I gave a kid walking home with me in the first
grade…hide it underneath a car tire where your Mom will never find it.
Grades are determined by where they rank in the league in each
category. Feel free to praise or scold teams in the comment section
below. Check out the other divisions as well.

Offense

Points Per Game:

First Half=A
First Quarter=A

Passing Yards:

First Half=A
First Quarter=A

Rushing Yards:

First Half=B
First Quarter=B+

Defense
Points Allowed:

First Half=C
First Quarter= B-

Yards Per Game:

First Half=B
First Quarter=C

Comments: The Cowboys were the kid that were really good playing on the playground with their friends (NFC) but were not so good when suiting up for the school team (vs. Pats). They are still toward the top of the class in most areas.
The rest of the teams…

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