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Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

June 13, 2008 by Lee (Edit)

The Full-Time Fantasy Running Back has become a bit of a rarity. More teams are going to a Running Back by Committee approach and carries are getting lost on third down and at the Goal Line as well. How does this effect your fantasy RB? Sometimes it doesn’t, sometimes it is nerve racking. Carries don’t mean everything, right? But sometimes you just have to think that if your guy is touching the ball more there is more opportunity than if he is on the bench.

On the last two episodes of The Fantasy Football News and Advice Show there has been a little conversation on the stock of Jamal Lewis. Matt Dana at FFGeekBlog.com (Episode 4)had been noticing that Lewis is going earlier than most would think in Mock Drafts. Revisiting the topic this week (Episode 5) we came to the conclusion that it must be related to the fact that Jamal Lewis is part of the dying breed that is the Full-Time Fantasy Back. This could make a difference in projections for cheetsheets you may be putting together. Giving more thought to this I decided to take a look at all of the teams and see just who lost the most carries in 2007.

Let’s have a look at how the player on each team with the highest average of carries per game stacked up against the average carries per game for the team. This will give us the average carries that each player lost per game. I think you may be surprised by how some of these guys rank. On one side this shows which teams look more at the featured back. On another side it shows that having to share carries does not necessarily mean a drop in fantasy production (especially if the team runs the ball a majority of the time). Of course this doesn’t take into consideration a players value in the passing game. No, it’s not a science (Yes-there are holes in it), but it’s fun anyway. So what are your thoughts? Please share in the comments below!

We will rank these in order of teams where the player with the highest average carries per game lost the least amount of carries to others (carries are rounded up).

1. Chiefs
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Team: 23.93
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Leader: Larry Johnson
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game: 19.8
Avg. Carries lost to others/Game: 3.2
Comments: When Johnson is healthy he is forced the rock. I wouldn’t look for much of a change in this…if healthy. The addition of Jamal Charles in the NFL Draft provides little reason to think it will change.

CONTINUED—>

NFL Footballderdash Week Fourteen

Last week was my worst showing yet. 0-3 is what I got for sticking with my “The Jags will take one from Indy this year” and my illusion of a Saints turn around. Back to business. Even after that mess I still hold a two game lead on this character. He picked the games again this week so let’s go see what he has for me. First a look at the scores…

Last Week

TINO:0-3 (24-17 overall)

Kelloggs23: 2-1 (22-19 overall)

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Nothing like a good rivalry game late in the season. For the Giants this is a game that can push them further toward the playoffs. For the Eagles…well…they can play spoiler against a team they hate. Defense should be key in this game. The Giants tore McNabb up last time they faced each other. Eli is struggling against pressure and the Eagles can bring that on D. On the offensive side of the ball for the Eagles we have to expect a whole lot of Bryan Westbrook. If that isn’t the case the Eagles really do deserve to be where they are in the standings.

TINO: Giants

Is Eli back? I was high on him, then down on him and now I really don’t know what to think about the guy. He looked good at the end against the Bears, but it was the Bears. Ward helped him out a lot that game with a huge rushing total, but now he’s done for the year. Will Eli be able to get it done? McNabb is back for the Eagles, but I’m not sure if that is a good or bad thing yet. I’m gonna go with good along with the fact that Westbrook is the most underrated RB in the league. Anyone remember the last game where McNabb was on his back the entire game because the Gmen manhandled the line. I think PHI will fix its faults and come away with this one.

Kelloggs23: Eagles

and the rest of the games…

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NFL Footballderdash Week Thirteen

Just like everyone overeats on Thanksgiving we had a little excess as well. We went five game last week, you would think that would have helped Kelly gain some ground. Games like this are always more fun when your winning. So the kid trails by four with 15 games left for the regular season. I’m going to throw him a couple bones this week I think.

LAST WEEK

TINO:4-1 (24-14 overall)

Kelloggs23: 3-2 (20-18 overall)

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Last time these two teams played I took the Jags. In the preseason I picked them to split with the Colts. David Garrard is yet to throw an INT but also has not played the whole season. His first (and maybe more) could very well come this week. MJD and Fred Taylor will be the focus of the game plan on both sides of the ball when the Jags have the rock. Look for it to be the Joe Addai show on offense for the Colts, this guy is not missing a beat. We are getting to the time in the season when the Colts need to make a statement and there wouldn’t be a better time than against the division rival that trails them by a game. With that said, I have to stick to my split.

TINO: Jaguars

The Jaguars have Garrard back and are looking good, but I just can’t go against Peyton at home. With the piped in sound on defense and him confusing the heck out of the other team on offense, they are one of the toughest teams to play at home. I like how their offense has still been clicking even without Marvin and I think their D is one of the most underrated in the league. Overall, I think people don’t respect Indy like they should so I’m going to toss them some props.

Kelloggs23: Indianapolis Colts

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Football Feast Thursday!

Thanksgiving and football. Up until just a few years ago family and friends got together for the annual Bloated Bowl. After pounding as much bird flesh, mashed potatoes and gravy and beer into us as possible we would take the block long walk to the park. Spectacular pigskin play ensued. My wife earned the nickname “The Wall” a few years ago after my sissy of a cousin ran into her as she stood still and then he lay on the ground crying holding his knee.

Now the bloated bowl seems to be retired. The kids got older and faster and we got older and slower. People moved away, blah, blah, blah. I miss it but after a flag football game where the adults took on the kids at the alternative school I work at last week, I realize I really am getting too old for this shit. Don’t get me wrong, we kicked their ass. I had the play of the day still getting talked about this week, going up for the ball and getting flattened by a kid that has about 40 lbs on me. I jumped up off the ground and spiked the ball in his face. I masked how hurt I was and my stuff down below got pinched and didn’t get better until a few plays later. Worse part about it was that I got jacked up by a kid in orange Rex Grossman jersey.

But I digress…Thanksgiving and football. Now it consists of the same prep. Lots of food and beer. Now there is more laying around watching the games on TV and checking my fantasy scores. I have a huge fantasy game this weekend against a IDP Division rival. Winner will likely take the division with one week to play after that before the playoffs.

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So let’s talk about some games! One game we will not talk about outside this paragraph is the Colts and Falcons. There are a few reasons for this. One, the NFL Network is robbing me of viewing this game and I hate the bastards for it! 2, it’s the friggen Colts and Falcons, does that really count as a game? Why do I bitch than you ask? I bitch because eventually the NFL is gong to get the guessing game right when making the schedule and they will rob those with out the NFLN of what they hope is the game of the year. I’m just going to guess here but I’m thinking they thought this was going to be Manning vs. Vick, not Manning versus Joeyron Harringtonwich. How long before they tamper with tradition and take away the Lions or Cowboys game? A big middle finger to you NFL, I’m watching NCAA football Thursday Night!

Let’s move on to what should be practice games for the Cowboys and Packers who will meet week 13 (by the way if you don’t have NFL Network, your screwed on that one), some Thanksgiving history, and some college football. And you know I have to throw a cheerleader in, I can’t leave you hanging with the bird above.

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AFC South 1st Half Report Card

We are a 1/2 way through the season and many teams have not performed
as planned. We have decided that report cards should be sent out. Some
fans will be happy to see how their teams stack up. Some would like to
use the genius plan I gave a kid walking home with me in the first
grade…hide it underneath a car tire where your Mom will never find it.
Grades are determined by where they rank in the league in each
category. Feel free to praise or scold teams in the comment section
below. Check out the other divisions as well.

Offense

Points Per Game:

First Half=A
First Quarter=A

Passing Yards:

First Half=B
First Quarter=B+

Rushing Yards:

First Half=B
First Quarter=B

Defense
Points Allowed:

First Half=A
First Quarter= C+

Yards Per Game:

First Half=B+
First Quarter=B

Comments: The Colts were in a school yard fight with the Patriots and lost. They had the chance to be the hero and were looked up to by many to be the one to stop the bully. Word is in Gym class that they are looking forward to getting another chance at the end of the year.
The rest of the teams…

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NFL Footballderdash/Week Nine

It’s a brand new ballgame, Baby! Not only did Brett Favre lead the Packers to an OT win and 6-1 start last week, he saved me from trailing Kelloggs23 for more than a week. It’s all tied up now. This week we have a few games where the teams just hate each other, how much fun is that? Once again it appears that the lead will be determined by the Monday Night game.

LAST WEEK

TINO: 2-1 (13-11 overall)

Kelloggs23: 1-2 (13-11 overall)

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This is the deepest in the regular season that we have ever seen two undefeated teams. We can only hope that this game is as good as the AFC Championship was last season. I have been saying all season that I can’t pick against the Patriots until they lose. I have just been in awe of what they are doing to opposing teams…opposing teams seem to be too as they watch themselves get throttled. The Colts have not been putting up the offensive numbers that they normally do but they have balanced out with a D that is playing better than usual…so they don’t have to. What I see happening in this game is the Patriots “overthinking” and the Colts just going out and doing their thing. Advantage Colts.

TINO:Colts

I’m gonna blame this week on the full moon that has been causing people to be crazy lately as I go with a couple of “against the grain” picks. With that said, Peyton will have a great game against the NE D. They try to confuse with multiple fronts and coverage schemes, but Manning has seen them plenty of times and his audibles will confuse the NE D that is trying to confuse him. Did you follow that one? Anyway, IND’s D will surprise the masses by playing a very quality game, just enough to let Addai & Manning get them the W.

Kelloggs23: Indianapolis Colts

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