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Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

June 13, 2008 by Lee (Edit)

The Full-Time Fantasy Running Back has become a bit of a rarity. More teams are going to a Running Back by Committee approach and carries are getting lost on third down and at the Goal Line as well. How does this effect your fantasy RB? Sometimes it doesn’t, sometimes it is nerve racking. Carries don’t mean everything, right? But sometimes you just have to think that if your guy is touching the ball more there is more opportunity than if he is on the bench.

On the last two episodes of The Fantasy Football News and Advice Show there has been a little conversation on the stock of Jamal Lewis. Matt Dana at FFGeekBlog.com (Episode 4)had been noticing that Lewis is going earlier than most would think in Mock Drafts. Revisiting the topic this week (Episode 5) we came to the conclusion that it must be related to the fact that Jamal Lewis is part of the dying breed that is the Full-Time Fantasy Back. This could make a difference in projections for cheetsheets you may be putting together. Giving more thought to this I decided to take a look at all of the teams and see just who lost the most carries in 2007.

Let’s have a look at how the player on each team with the highest average of carries per game stacked up against the average carries per game for the team. This will give us the average carries that each player lost per game. I think you may be surprised by how some of these guys rank. On one side this shows which teams look more at the featured back. On another side it shows that having to share carries does not necessarily mean a drop in fantasy production (especially if the team runs the ball a majority of the time). Of course this doesn’t take into consideration a players value in the passing game. No, it’s not a science (Yes-there are holes in it), but it’s fun anyway. So what are your thoughts? Please share in the comments below!

We will rank these in order of teams where the player with the highest average carries per game lost the least amount of carries to others (carries are rounded up).

1. Chiefs
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Team: 23.93
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Leader: Larry Johnson
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game: 19.8
Avg. Carries lost to others/Game: 3.2
Comments: When Johnson is healthy he is forced the rock. I wouldn’t look for much of a change in this…if healthy. The addition of Jamal Charles in the NFL Draft provides little reason to think it will change.

CONTINUED—>

NFL Footballderdash Week Thirteen

Just like everyone overeats on Thanksgiving we had a little excess as well. We went five game last week, you would think that would have helped Kelly gain some ground. Games like this are always more fun when your winning. So the kid trails by four with 15 games left for the regular season. I’m going to throw him a couple bones this week I think.

LAST WEEK

TINO:4-1 (24-14 overall)

Kelloggs23: 3-2 (20-18 overall)

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Last time these two teams played I took the Jags. In the preseason I picked them to split with the Colts. David Garrard is yet to throw an INT but also has not played the whole season. His first (and maybe more) could very well come this week. MJD and Fred Taylor will be the focus of the game plan on both sides of the ball when the Jags have the rock. Look for it to be the Joe Addai show on offense for the Colts, this guy is not missing a beat. We are getting to the time in the season when the Colts need to make a statement and there wouldn’t be a better time than against the division rival that trails them by a game. With that said, I have to stick to my split.

TINO: Jaguars

The Jaguars have Garrard back and are looking good, but I just can’t go against Peyton at home. With the piped in sound on defense and him confusing the heck out of the other team on offense, they are one of the toughest teams to play at home. I like how their offense has still been clicking even without Marvin and I think their D is one of the most underrated in the league. Overall, I think people don’t respect Indy like they should so I’m going to toss them some props.

Kelloggs23: Indianapolis Colts

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NFC South 1st Half Report Card

We are a 1/2 way through the season and many teams have not performed
as planned. We have decided that report cards should be sent out. Some
fans will be happy to see how their teams stack up. Some would like to
use the genius plan I gave a kid walking home with me in the first
grade…hide it underneath a car tire where your Mom will never find it.
Grades are determined by where they rank in the league in each
category. Feel free to praise or scold teams in the comment section
below. Check out the other divisions as well.

Offense
Points Per Game:

First Half=C
First Quarter=C

Passing Yards:

First Half=C
First Quarter=D+

Rushing Yards:

First Half=C
First Quarter=B

Defense
Points Allowed:

First Half=A
First Quarter= A

Yards Per Game:

First Half=B+
First Quarter=B+

Comments: The Bucs have returned to their expected performance on defense. They hold on to a lead in their division but sick days are hurting in rushing class.
The rest of the teams…

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NFL Footballderdash/Week Eight

After Kelloggs pleading for me to throw him a couple games I now find myself trailing after taking Jacksonville and Philly last week. Okay, I thought maybe I was giving one away with the Jacksonville game but I really thought that Philly would take the game against Chicago and it appeared so until the last few seconds when Brian Griese played like a starting NFL QB and drove the Bears to a winning score in the final two minutes. So now I play catch up…

LAST WEEK

TINO: 0-3 (11-10 overall)

Kelloggs23: 2-1 (12-9 overall)
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It’s been so long since these two have played on Monday night that the Broncos had blue helmets and orange jerseys at the time. This is a very tough one to call for me. Denver is only a game out (trailing KC?) of first place. But that IS with a 3-3 record. Something I find interesting about their schedule is that in the games they have won, it’s been by a total of 7 points in three games. Everything should tell me to beware the Broncos pass defense in this game. Brett Favre does tend to make costly mistakes. If there is any time this season that the Packers should be able to run the ball it is Monday night. Not that it will happen. I look for this game to be a close one.

TINO: Packers

Oh Brett Favre, how I love you so. How I love that you won’t win
this game because Denver is made to shut down the pass and let you run
on them. What was that? Green Bay has no running game? Only passing?
What a shame. Greg Jennings will have a decent game with Driver getting
blanketed by Champ, but it won’t be enough as Denver will pound it out
all game long. I think this may be a very boring game with Denver
taking it in the end, probably on a Jason Elam FG or John Elway
game-winning drive.

Kelloggs23: Denver Broncos

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NFL Footballderdash/Week Six

Welcome to week six of NFL Footballderdash. So I read yesterday that the Cowboys and Patriots game will be only the third time since the AFL-NFL merger that two teams 5-0 or better have faced off during a season. So we have that game to pick, among others, but first let’s review…

LAST WEEK

TINO: 2-1 (10-5 overall)

Kelloggs23: 2-1 (9-6 overall)

@ https://i1.wp.com/www.tino-offseason.com/forum/myth/hawksgif.gif
Giving Myth a chance to do his hometown thing since he let me go with the Vikings game a couple weeks back. I really, really, really wanna pick the Saints (I think it is only because I am an avid watcher of K-Ville (Monday nights on Fox @ 9pm CST)), but I can’t go against my gut and stick with the Seahawks. They had a big off week against the Steelers last week and Deion Branch is expected to miss the game, but I think Shaun Alexander will be the next to expose the weak New Orleans defense. FGs will be a common factor in this match-up.

Kelloggs23: Seattle Seahawks

So how it works is I send Kelloggs some games to pick from that I think are going to be the games of the week every week and then he pretty much just sends me back whatever the hell he wants. My nemesis takes a shot at twisting the knife here on a Saints fan (my user name at tino-offseason.com is The Myth) and tells you he is doing me a favor…see how evil he is? As hard as it is for me to pick against the Saints I have t be realistic. They have done a little less than nothing this season and I can’t pick them for anything until they do a little more than something. This is obviously Kelloggs trying to get me to go homer to close the gap on the overall score. Kelloggs lets out a big evil belly laugh as I pick…

TINO: Seahawks

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NFC South First Quarter Report Card

We are a 1/4 way through the season and many teams have not performed as planned. We have decided that reports cards should be sent out. Some fans will be happy to see how their teams stack up. Some would like to use the genius plan I gave a kid walking home with me in the first grade…hide it underneath a car tire where your Mom will never find it. Grades are determined by where they rank in the league in each category. Feel free to praise or scold teams in the comment section below. Check out the other divisions as well.

Offense
Points Per Game: C
Passing Yards: D+
Rushing Yards: B

Defense
Points Allowed: A
Yards Per Game: B+

Comments: The Bucs have been performing well this year. The new kid at QB has proven to be a good influence on the others. The defense is performing as we knew they were capable of performing.

The rest of the teams…

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