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Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

June 13, 2008 by Lee (Edit)

The Full-Time Fantasy Running Back has become a bit of a rarity. More teams are going to a Running Back by Committee approach and carries are getting lost on third down and at the Goal Line as well. How does this effect your fantasy RB? Sometimes it doesn’t, sometimes it is nerve racking. Carries don’t mean everything, right? But sometimes you just have to think that if your guy is touching the ball more there is more opportunity than if he is on the bench.

On the last two episodes of The Fantasy Football News and Advice Show there has been a little conversation on the stock of Jamal Lewis. Matt Dana at FFGeekBlog.com (Episode 4)had been noticing that Lewis is going earlier than most would think in Mock Drafts. Revisiting the topic this week (Episode 5) we came to the conclusion that it must be related to the fact that Jamal Lewis is part of the dying breed that is the Full-Time Fantasy Back. This could make a difference in projections for cheetsheets you may be putting together. Giving more thought to this I decided to take a look at all of the teams and see just who lost the most carries in 2007.

Let’s have a look at how the player on each team with the highest average of carries per game stacked up against the average carries per game for the team. This will give us the average carries that each player lost per game. I think you may be surprised by how some of these guys rank. On one side this shows which teams look more at the featured back. On another side it shows that having to share carries does not necessarily mean a drop in fantasy production (especially if the team runs the ball a majority of the time). Of course this doesn’t take into consideration a players value in the passing game. No, it’s not a science (Yes-there are holes in it), but it’s fun anyway. So what are your thoughts? Please share in the comments below!

We will rank these in order of teams where the player with the highest average carries per game lost the least amount of carries to others (carries are rounded up).

1. Chiefs
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Team: 23.93
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Leader: Larry Johnson
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game: 19.8
Avg. Carries lost to others/Game: 3.2
Comments: When Johnson is healthy he is forced the rock. I wouldn’t look for much of a change in this…if healthy. The addition of Jamal Charles in the NFL Draft provides little reason to think it will change.

CONTINUED—>

AFC North 1st Half Report Card

We are a 1/2 way through the season and many teams have not performed
as planned. We have decided that report cards should be sent out. Some
fans will be happy to see how their teams stack up. Some would like to
use the genius plan I gave a kid walking home with me in the first
grade…hide it underneath a car tire where your Mom will never find it.
Grades are determined by where they rank in the league in each
category. Feel free to praise or scold teams in the comment section
below. Check out the other divisions as well.

First quarter AFC North grades can be found HERE.

Offense

Points Per Game:
First Half=B+
First Quarter=B+

Passing Yards:

First Half=C
First Quarter=D

Rushing Yards:

First Half=A
First Quarter=A

Defense
Points Allowed:

First Half=A
First Quarter= A

Yards Per Game:

First Half=A
First Quarter=B

Comments: The Steelers are now being touted as the team to beat the Patriots. They don’t need the pressure. If they concentrate on their studies at hand they should continue to succeed.
The rest of the teams…

Read the rest of this entry »

AFC North First Quarter Report Card

We are a 1/4 way through the season and many teams have not performed as planned. We have decided that reports cards should be sent out. Some fans will be happy to see how their teams stack up. Some would like to use the genius plan I gave a kid walking home with me in the first grade…hide it underneath a car tire where your Mom will never find it. Grades are determined by where they rank in the league in each category. Feel free to praise or scold teams in the comment section below. Check out the other divisions as well.

Offense

Points Per Game: B+

Passing Yards: D

Rushing Yards: A

Defense

Points Allowed: A

Yards Per Game: B

The rest of the teams…
Read the rest of this entry »

NFL Bedpan/Week 3 Injuries of note

What sucks more on a Sunday than looking at your live scoring or results later in the day only to find that you started Andre Johnson thinking the Texans would be attempting a shootout with the Colts and he was in street clothes? Well, a lot of things suck more but you don’t have to have this kind of suckyness in your life.

Make a quick stop by on Sunday mornings and see who is using the bedpan for the weekend, who is hurt but likely to play, or just to let me know I’m not completely talking to myself here.

Also, if you have any questions or answers on who to start or sit, see our weekly “Who in the hell do I start?” series. If nothing else there will be another chick pic each week.

So enough babble, below you will find those that are out, on the bedrail so to speak, and those not likely to play for each of this Sunday’s games.

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Lions

OUT:
TE Dan Campbell
RB T.J. Duckett

On the bedrail and likely to go:
RB Kevin Jones (limited)

Philly

OUT:
TE L.J. Smith

On the bedrail and likely to go:
PK David Akers
WR Kevin Curtis
RB Brian Westbrook

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Vikings
OUT:
QB Tarvaris Jackson

On the bedrail and likely to go:
RB Chester Taylor

Not likely to go:
WR Troy Williamson

Chiefs

OUT:
WR Eddie Kennison

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NFL Footballderdash/Week Three

My new nemesis has proved to be a worthy adversary. Last week we both faltered a little bit. Who seen that Browns offense coming? I’m sure there were more people that fell in survivor games with that loss last week than any other game since the Texans opened the season beating the Dolphins a few years back.

Time to look at week three, let’s review.

Last Week…

TINO: 1-2

Kelloggs23: 1-2

Overall

TINO: 4-2

Kelloggs23: 3-3

And now the week three games…

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The Bengals should be ashamed of themselves the way the Browns made their D look like a bunch of boobs (cheap shot to use picture). The offense is hot but they are not playing the Browns D this week. Of course the offense was never the question. Shaun Alexander should have a heyday with these guys this week. What is hard to gauge with the Seahawks is the competition they have played so far. the Bucs and Cards could have both had fluke games, too soon to tell.

The 12th man (but not the one in College Station)
TINO: Seahawks

Which D will show up for Cinci? They thought that Derek Anderson and Jamal Lewis lit them up? Wait til they see what Shaun Alexander does to them all by himself. I like Seattle this year and think they will surpass expectations. With that being said, TJ Housh will have a decent game, but it won’t be enough with the Seattle O scoring on 85% of their possessions.
Kelloggs23: Seattle Seahawks

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NFL Footballderdash Week 1

The NFL Football season is here! Well, it started Thursday but the real feeling doesn’t set in until you have a Sunday full of games.

This season I’m adding a new nemesis. Kelloggs23 from There is NO Offseason is going to join me each week in randomly babbling about a few games, picking a winner, and seeing who is more full of shit. With that said, let’s look at some games for week one…

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This is one of those games that is “The Super Bowl that could have been” in week one. The Chargers are coming in with a whole new coaching staff and the team is pretty much in tact sans Ol’ Man McCardell. The defense of the Chargers will be looking to rattle Rex Grossman. On offense they have to use their best player against one of the toughest D’s and see who breaks. It’s go time for Cedric Benson and he has to win this game for the Bears O.

Offense+Defense=2, Defense-Offense=1 Advantage:
TINO: Chargers

Can the stellar Bears D shut down LT? If they do, will Phillip Rivers be able to win a game by himself? Those are the questions that come with this game as the outcome hinges on the Chicago defense and what they can do against the Chargers O. Rex Grossman just has to play smart and not lose the game and the Bears should be able to come away with the win in this very good Week 1 game.

Kelloggs23: Chicago Bears

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The Cowboys players have a coach that they like and will reward him with a hard played game. Tony Romo looked to be over that little mishap in Seattle this preseason. T.O. is content. They have a two headed monster at RB. The 3-4 D should be all over the place. Eli Manning needs to make a statement in this game to get the fans and media off his back for a week. The questions of what their running game will be like without Tiki Barber will be answered early.

The Cowboys just seem to have more answers while the Giants have too many questions.
TINO: Cowboys

This match-up keys on the quarterback play. Eli comes into a year when he has to perform and Romo has to show that he can put the bungled snap in the playoffs behind him. The Cowboys come in without Terry Glenn due to injury, but that won’t matter because Romo is zoned in on TO and the running game will provide a good balance for them. The Cowboys D will confuse Eli and force him into a terrible game.

Kelloggs23: Dallas Cowboys

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I don’t have any interest in what kind of dance or shadow puppet thing Chad Johnson is going to do after TD’s but the guy is a monster. Johnson and Carson Palmer looked to be right on target in the preseason just as an athlete peeks for his event. The Ravens have a new RB in town that wants to prove that it was Buffalo that was bad, not him. McGahee could go off. The Ravens have a pretty good defense I hear.

With the game in Cincy I see the Bengals O edging the Ravens D.
TINO: Bengals

Top 5 offense against top 5 defense. Which one will give? The saying is that defense wins championships, but the offense will win this regular season game. Carson Palmer is fully recovered from his torn ACL of 2 years ago and looking to have a very good year. The Ravens lost Adalius Thomas and will be looking to fill this huge hole. Week 1 won’t be a kind match-up as they try to figure it out.

Kelloggs23: Cincinnati Bengals

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