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Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

June 13, 2008 by Lee (Edit)

The Full-Time Fantasy Running Back has become a bit of a rarity. More teams are going to a Running Back by Committee approach and carries are getting lost on third down and at the Goal Line as well. How does this effect your fantasy RB? Sometimes it doesn’t, sometimes it is nerve racking. Carries don’t mean everything, right? But sometimes you just have to think that if your guy is touching the ball more there is more opportunity than if he is on the bench.

On the last two episodes of The Fantasy Football News and Advice Show there has been a little conversation on the stock of Jamal Lewis. Matt Dana at FFGeekBlog.com (Episode 4)had been noticing that Lewis is going earlier than most would think in Mock Drafts. Revisiting the topic this week (Episode 5) we came to the conclusion that it must be related to the fact that Jamal Lewis is part of the dying breed that is the Full-Time Fantasy Back. This could make a difference in projections for cheetsheets you may be putting together. Giving more thought to this I decided to take a look at all of the teams and see just who lost the most carries in 2007.

Let’s have a look at how the player on each team with the highest average of carries per game stacked up against the average carries per game for the team. This will give us the average carries that each player lost per game. I think you may be surprised by how some of these guys rank. On one side this shows which teams look more at the featured back. On another side it shows that having to share carries does not necessarily mean a drop in fantasy production (especially if the team runs the ball a majority of the time). Of course this doesn’t take into consideration a players value in the passing game. No, it’s not a science (Yes-there are holes in it), but it’s fun anyway. So what are your thoughts? Please share in the comments below!

We will rank these in order of teams where the player with the highest average carries per game lost the least amount of carries to others (carries are rounded up).

1. Chiefs
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Team: 23.93
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Leader: Larry Johnson
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game: 19.8
Avg. Carries lost to others/Game: 3.2
Comments: When Johnson is healthy he is forced the rock. I wouldn’t look for much of a change in this…if healthy. The addition of Jamal Charles in the NFL Draft provides little reason to think it will change.

CONTINUED—>

NFL Footballderdash/Week 16

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The regular season is winding down on NFL Footballderdash…and the NFL season.  Our hero(me) holds a two game lead over the bad guy.
LAST WEEK 

TINO:1-2 (27-20 overall)

Kelloggs23: 1-2 (25-22 overall)

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This was supposed to be a game with more playoff implications.  The Saints have looked like the 2006 Saints the last two weeks but the ghost of X-Mas past has made too many visits for them to be in a comfortable position in the playoff race.  They have put up 65 points the last two games, although one of them being against the Falcons doesn’t really count.  Drew Brees is back on track and the season rides on this game for the Saints.  The Eagles are looking to play spoiler this week as they have dropped too many important games in the last month to keep up in the race.  Word is flying around that McNabb will be heading out.  If that is the case, McNabb has two showcase games left before leaving, starting here.

TINO: Saints

My how the mighty have fallen. If I remember correctly, both these teams were supposed to be fighting for a spot in the Super Bowl, but it isn’t looking like either will even be getting a sniff of the playoffs. The ‘aints will need the W to keep their hopes alive and Stecker has been “filling” in quite nicely. Personally I think he should have become more of a factor when Deuce went down, but then again there is a reason I’m not coaching an NFL team right now. With that said, I think McNabb & Westbrook will put together a good game for the Iggles on offense and their defense will be adequate against the Saints meager offense.

Kelloggs23: Philadelphia Eagles

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NFL Footballderdash Week 15

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I bit last week on the hope the Steelers could come to the rescue of us non-Patriot fans.  It cost me a perfect week.  As the season winds down we have a couple games that serve as playoff games already for a few teams.

Last Week

TINO:2-1 (26-18 overall)

Kelloggs23: 2-1 (24-20 overall)

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This has smash mouth football written all over it.  All D and a lot of running.  Who would think that the Steelers would only be one win up on the Browns right now?  They need this game to keep that cushion going.  The Steelers are very tough at home and it could give them an edge here.  David Garrard has turned out to be the QB the Jags needed.  I look for the Steelers to take out last weeks loss on the Jags.

TINO: Steelers

Pittsburgh is always a deadly team come wintertime and especially at home, they are no different. I see Willie finally turning things around and putting one in this week. Jax is a good team and if they were the home team, I’d probably go with them in this tilt.

Kelloggs23: Pittsburgh Steelers

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NFL Footballderdash Week Thirteen

Just like everyone overeats on Thanksgiving we had a little excess as well. We went five game last week, you would think that would have helped Kelly gain some ground. Games like this are always more fun when your winning. So the kid trails by four with 15 games left for the regular season. I’m going to throw him a couple bones this week I think.

LAST WEEK

TINO:4-1 (24-14 overall)

Kelloggs23: 3-2 (20-18 overall)

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Last time these two teams played I took the Jags. In the preseason I picked them to split with the Colts. David Garrard is yet to throw an INT but also has not played the whole season. His first (and maybe more) could very well come this week. MJD and Fred Taylor will be the focus of the game plan on both sides of the ball when the Jags have the rock. Look for it to be the Joe Addai show on offense for the Colts, this guy is not missing a beat. We are getting to the time in the season when the Colts need to make a statement and there wouldn’t be a better time than against the division rival that trails them by a game. With that said, I have to stick to my split.

TINO: Jaguars

The Jaguars have Garrard back and are looking good, but I just can’t go against Peyton at home. With the piped in sound on defense and him confusing the heck out of the other team on offense, they are one of the toughest teams to play at home. I like how their offense has still been clicking even without Marvin and I think their D is one of the most underrated in the league. Overall, I think people don’t respect Indy like they should so I’m going to toss them some props.

Kelloggs23: Indianapolis Colts

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Monday AM Hangover/ Week 12

How bad is the NFC? Being one game over .500 has you in the playoffs. The 0-4 starting Saints are still in it folks as they trail just the Eagles and Lions for the #6 seed. They smacked the hell out of their division rival Panthers. Week 13 is going to be a major week as far as shaping the playoff hunt in the NFC as six teams sit at 5-6, a game behind those Lions.

The Bears Adrian Peterson is going to be getting the rock now that Cedric Benson is out for the season. I said before the season started that Peterson would be a fantasy sleeper stud if anything happened to Benson….we will see.

Picture this…Adrian Peterson+the Vikings D+QB play. If they ever get all three of those together they could be dangerous. They were yesterday with Chester Taylor filling in the Peterson part of the equation.

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“Hello? Have you seen my Career?”

Remember when Joe Horn left the Saints pissed off? I wish I could find the video of that press conference. There was all the makings of two “I’ll show you Saints!” games this season.

Ol’Joe couldn’t have known about the Mike Vick dog thing, unless he noticed the pooch blood on Mike’s shoes and milk bones falling from his pockets.

We really have not even been able to see Joe get pissed about Joey Harrington being the QB…then Byron Leftwich making Harrington look good.

Here is a kick ass highlight video of Joe’s season with the Falcons…

Season stats:

18 Receptions, 165 yards, 0 TD’s.

Don’t get me wrong, I like the old boy but he is a couple years removed from mattering, someone tell Joe that. I know what would be cool…have Joey Harrington tell him that!
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