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Rankings| Fantasy RB Average Carries Compared to Carries Lost

June 13, 2008 by Lee (Edit)

The Full-Time Fantasy Running Back has become a bit of a rarity. More teams are going to a Running Back by Committee approach and carries are getting lost on third down and at the Goal Line as well. How does this effect your fantasy RB? Sometimes it doesn’t, sometimes it is nerve racking. Carries don’t mean everything, right? But sometimes you just have to think that if your guy is touching the ball more there is more opportunity than if he is on the bench.

On the last two episodes of The Fantasy Football News and Advice Show there has been a little conversation on the stock of Jamal Lewis. Matt Dana at FFGeekBlog.com (Episode 4)had been noticing that Lewis is going earlier than most would think in Mock Drafts. Revisiting the topic this week (Episode 5) we came to the conclusion that it must be related to the fact that Jamal Lewis is part of the dying breed that is the Full-Time Fantasy Back. This could make a difference in projections for cheetsheets you may be putting together. Giving more thought to this I decided to take a look at all of the teams and see just who lost the most carries in 2007.

Let’s have a look at how the player on each team with the highest average of carries per game stacked up against the average carries per game for the team. This will give us the average carries that each player lost per game. I think you may be surprised by how some of these guys rank. On one side this shows which teams look more at the featured back. On another side it shows that having to share carries does not necessarily mean a drop in fantasy production (especially if the team runs the ball a majority of the time). Of course this doesn’t take into consideration a players value in the passing game. No, it’s not a science (Yes-there are holes in it), but it’s fun anyway. So what are your thoughts? Please share in the comments below!

We will rank these in order of teams where the player with the highest average carries per game lost the least amount of carries to others (carries are rounded up).

1. Chiefs
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Team: 23.93
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game Leader: Larry Johnson
Avg. Rush Attempts/Game: 19.8
Avg. Carries lost to others/Game: 3.2
Comments: When Johnson is healthy he is forced the rock. I wouldn’t look for much of a change in this…if healthy. The addition of Jamal Charles in the NFL Draft provides little reason to think it will change.

CONTINUED—>

Romo Drafted by Bears?

It’s a little known fact to those outside the listening range of the airwaves of The Score 670 in Chicago that there was a daily push prior to the 2003 NFL Draft for the Chicago Bears to draft Tony Romo.

In those days I spent most of my work day driving around chasing kids on probation. In these pre-Sirius Radio days I listened to The Score daily. During the months leading up to the 2003 draft, Doug Buffone, former Bears linebacker and one of my personal favorite Score personalities, made a daily push for the Bears to draft, “That Romo kid from Eastern Illinois” on a daily basis. He also discussed how they should have taken him after the draft had taken place.

NFC North 1st Half Report Card

We are a 1/2 way through the season and many teams have not performed
as planned. We have decided that report cards should be sent out. Some
fans will be happy to see how their teams stack up. Some would like to
use the genius plan I gave a kid walking home with me in the first
grade…hide it underneath a car tire where your Mom will never find it.
Grades are determined by where they rank in the league in each
category. Feel free to praise or scold teams in the comment section
below. Check out the other divisions as well.

Offense

Points Per Game:

First Half=B
First Quarter=B

Passing Yards:

First Half=A
First Quarter=A

Rushing Yards:

First Half=F
First Quarter=F

Defense
Points Allowed:

First Half=B
First Quarter= B

Yards Per Game:

First Half=B-
First Quarter=D+

Comments: The Packers are excelling in their classes but are neglecting run class. Passing has been able to compensate for it up to this point but it isn’t known that it can do so all year. Improvement in yards allowed per game helps as well.
The rest of the teams…

Monday AM Hangover/Week Seven

• So I got to watch the last two minutes of the Bears-Eagles game. What an amazing drive. Brian Griese looks like he should be a starting NFL QB after this game. Not only did he put together a game winning drive in the final two minutes, he didn’t turn the ball over and nine guys got catches. Lesson to the Eagles…you have to play 60 minutes of football.

• When was the last time the Rams were this bad? 0-7 start for the first time ever…and there has been some pretty bad Rams teams over the years.

• The Saints put together another week of looking like the 2006 Saints, putting them two games back in the division believe it or not. Joey Harrington just won’t go away will he? He got in the game by default after Leftwich went down. Almost got a TD that could have won the game had Roddy White not stepped out of bounds.

• The Patriots are pretty good.

• Let’s hear it for the Cowboys rush D. We always hear about Romo and Owens. This rush defense has not given up 100 game to a rusher and has allowed only 3 TD’s on the ground. Not a favorable matchup for a Vikings team that can only run the ball.

It’s a little premature with the Monday night game let to be played but let’s hand out some fantasy game balls…